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Tanker crew trapped as Iran war escalates

Thousands of seafarers are trapped on tankers in the Gulf after the strait of Hormuz was effectively closed to shipping by the escalating war on Iran.

The Guardian spoke to a crew member on one of the stranded tankers that typically ferries vast quantities of oil from the Middle East to ports around the world.

“When [Donald] Trump said Iran had 10 days to agree to his deal or bad things would happen, I did the math and thought we might get stuck here. And we did,” said the seafarer.

From a cabin below deck, they explained how the crew watched explosions light up the sky as they loaded the vessel with crude oil at an industrial complex in the Gulf.

Initially the crew were told to stop loading the oil, but hours later they were told to return and continue filling the tanker.

“At the time we had no GPS, no communications, and we were sitting on more than a million barrels of floating oil,” said the crew member.

“Now we’re at anchor off the coast of Dubai and it looks like we’re stuck here indefinitely. We’re powerless; just waiting and hoping that nothing hits us.”

After war broke out on Saturday, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said it would “set ablaze” any western tanker attempting to transit the strait, a body of water through which about a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas passes on tankers.

Typically, about 100 tankers pass through the trade artery each day but marine traffic has evaporated as military aggression has increased and insurance costs have soared or cover has been withdrawn. About 200 tankers, which are not under sanctions are stranded in the strait, according to the maritime data firm Lloyd’s List, as well as on hundreds of other vessels, leaving thousands of crew effectively trapped in a war zone.

The seafarer has been on the tanker for three months, and was due to head home to Europe once the vessel was loaded with crude and ready to depart for east Asia. In total there are more than seafarers on board, including nationals from the Philippines and India.

“We send messages every few hours to the tanker owner to report that we are OK. In response we have received generic messages about a mental health hotline. But that’s about that,” they said.

“If they wanted to do more they could start by providing more internet. We get a data allowance for free, and then we need to pay. I’m mostly scrolling news reports or texting friends and family but the internet isn’t always available because the GPS signal here gets jammed by the Iranians or the Americans. My mother is freaking out,” the seafarer added.

The effective blockade has caused oil and gas prices to surge, and threatens to upend the global economy by stoking inflation. The longer the strait is shut off to transit, the greater the risk to the global economy – and the thousands of seafarers held hostage by circumstance.

At least six vessels have been attacked and two seafarers killed. On Wednesday a large explosion was reported on an oil tanker near the coast of Kuwait.

“People are trying to get on with their work, but it does take a toll,” the seafarer said. “And as the days pass, it feels more and more unreal that we are just working normally in the middle of all this. We can hear the military planes, we can see explosions in the sky sometimes, it’s the strangest situation.

“People might go to the gym, or watch movies in the cabins in their downtime. Some guys go fishing in the evening, but for obvious reasons we need to keep lights to a minimum so as not to attract attention.”

Stephen Cotton, the general secretary of the International Transport Workers’ Federation (ITF), a trade union representing 1.2 million seafarers, has been inundated by requests for information from its members.

“Seafarers are sometimes invisible,” he said. “They are always on the frontline and our economies can’t survive [without them]. But let’s be clear: seafarers are innocent civilians. They happen to be on a ship in a region that is incredibly explosive at the moment.”

The union is fielding desperate queries over whether it is possible to repatriate seafarers who want to leave their vessel – and the region.

“You can’t just get off a ship,” Cotton said. “The feedback from most of the ship owners is that it’s a no-go zone. What we are exploring is what we can do.”

The crew member said their tanker has enough food for about 60 days and was fitted with desalination equipment to produce water on board, although rationing may be necessary eventually.

David Appleton, a senior leader at the trade union Nautilus International, said: “I don’t think keeping the ships supplied is the issue. When it all starts dragging on and people are supposed to be relieved and they can’t be, psychological stress becomes the main thing. Many seafarers will remember the pandemic when they were trapped on board for months and months at the time, unable to leave the ship.”

He added: “​​It’s all obviously up in the air, because we have no idea how long this is going to go on. Our position ultimately is that seafarers shouldn’t be considered expendable. It’s a civilian career.”

No shipowner can force a seafarer to take up a position in a high-risk area, raising the question of who would replace those stuck on board even if a relief mission was logistically possible.

“Who would be willing to take my place? You’d need to be really desperate for work” said the seafarer. “Honestly, when I do get home I want a very large, strong drink as soon as I arrive. But mostly I’m eager to see my pets, my family and my friends. There are hundreds of others in our position and I’m really concerned that we will not be heard, when there are so many more horrible things happening.

“The sad truth is that crew members have already died trying to cross Hormuz, or by just being in the wrong place at the wrong time.”

The Guardian

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Saudi Arabia launches Red Sea shipping route

The Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) has launched a new cargo shipping service linking Jeddah Islamic Port with Salalah in Oman and the Port of Djibouti, as the Kingdom accelerates efforts to strengthen maritime connectivity and position itself as a regional logistics hub.

According to Saudi state television, the service has a carrying capacity of up to 1,730 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) and is aimed at supporting the kingdom’s import and export activity while expanding links with regional and international ports.

The move forms part of Saudi Arabia’s broader logistics strategy under Vision 2030, which seeks to diversify economy and strengthen the kingdom’s role in global trade routes connecting Asia, Africa and Europe. Mawani recently launched the “Red Sea Express” cargo shipping service through King Fahd Industrial Port in Yanbu, linking Saudi Arabia with Ain Sokhna in Egypt and Aqaba in Jordan to improve regional trade and supply-chain efficiency.

The Kingdom has invested heavily in ports, shipping infrastructure and logistics corridors in recent years as GCC countries compete to become major transport and trade hubs.

GN

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India burns more coal as extreme heat and Iran war squeeze energy Supplies

India, the world’s third-largest carbon dioxide emitter, is burning more coal as energy supply disruptions due to the Iran war and a nationwide heatwave have boosted demand for the dirty fuel.

More than 70% of India’s power is generated from coal-fired plants, and energy experts told CNBC that the share is expected to rise this year.

In February, India announced that more than 52% of its total installed power generation capacity came from non-fossil fuel sources, with the majority coming from solar, hydropower and wind. Yet, coal-fired power plants, which account for nearly 43% of total generation capacity, remain the dominant source of energy.

Coal-fired power generation in India in April increased to 164.9 average gigawatts, compared with 160.7 average gigawatts last year, according to data shared by S&P Global Energy. According to the data, coal-fired power generation rose sequentially by 5.6 average gigawatts, or 3.5%, in April.

About 4% of India’s installed power generation capacity is gas-fired and runs on liquified natural gas, of which about 60% is imported through the Strait of Hormuz.

Higher coal burn

The higher liquid natural gas prices have also made gas-based power generation economically unviable, said Girish Madan, director of corporate ratings at Fitch Ratings in Singapore. “So, coal-based power needs to share a higher burden in these peak summer months,” he added.

Electricity demand in India is rising as temperatures surge amid heatwaves. On April 27, data compiled by New Delhi-based air quality and temperature monitoring platform AQI showed that all 50 of the world’s hottest cities were in India.

“Heatwave conditions, with readings above 40-45 degrees C (Celsius), across several places in India have lifted power demand,” Andre Lambine, lead APAC short-term power and renewables research at S&P Global Energy, told CNBC in an email.

He added that while gas-fired generation rebounded in the last weeks of April, it remains “1.5 average gigawatts below 2025 levels, underscoring the continued displacement of gas by coal in the power mix.”

If the El Niño climate effect develops, there could be a “potential growth of 10% year over year for coal-fired power generation in India,” he said.

India is expected to experience relatively higher temperatures this month, which could result in “heat wave conditions across parts of Northwest, Central and West India, along with the East Coast,” the government said in a release on May 2.

While demand for coal is primarily driven by the power sector, other industries are also leaning on the fossil fuel, said Firat Ergene, lead Insights analyst for coal, petcoke, and cement at Kpler.

Additional demand is coming from industries such as cement producers, he told CNBC.

Supplies of petroleum coke, which is burned as fuel, have been disrupted by the Middle East conflict, pushing prices higher. This has prompted cement companies to substitute petcoke with coal, Ergene explained.

Last month, India vowed to reduce the emissions intensity of its economy by 47% by 2035, in line with its goal to become a net-zero country by 2070. India is the world’s third-highest emitter of carbon dioxide, after China and the U.S.

While India’s carbon dioxide emissions are still rising, the growth rate last year was the slowest in more than two decades, according to an analysis by the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air, a policy think tank.

CNBC

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Are we ready for another pandemic?

Five years ago, the world was hearing the first reports of a mysterious flu-like illness emerging from Wuhan, China, now known as Covid-19.

The pandemic that followed brought more than 14 million deaths, and sent shock waves through the world economy. About 400 million people worldwide have had long Covid. World leaders, recognising that another pandemic was not a question of “if” but “when”, promised to work together to strengthen global health systems.

But negotiations on a new pandemic agreement stalled in 2024, even as further global public health threats and emergencies were identified. If a new pandemic threat emerges in 2025, experts are yet to be convinced that we will deal with it any better than the last.


What are the threats?

While experts agree that another pandemic is inevitable, exactly what, where and when is impossible to predict.

New health threats emerge frequently. World health leaders declared an outbreak of mpox in Africa an international public health emergency in 2024. As the year ended, teams of specialists were probing a potential outbreak of an unknown illness in a remote area of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now thought to be cases of severe malaria and other diseases exacerbated by acute malnutrition.

Maria van Kerkhove, interim director of epidemic and pandemic preparedness and prevention at the World Health Organization (WHO), is concerned about the bird flu situation – the virus is not spreading human to human but there have been an increasing number of human infections in the past year.

While there is a well-established international monitoring system specifically focused on influenza, surveillance in sectors such as trade and agriculture, where humans and animals mix, is not comprehensive enough, she says. And she stresses that the ability to properly assess the risk “depends on the detection, the sequencing, the transparency of countries to share those samples”.

The Covid-19 pandemic left health systems worldwide “really shaky” and has been followed by a long list of other health crises, she says. “Seasonal influenza started circulating, we had an mpox emergency, we’ve had Marburg, we’ve had cholera, we’ve had earthquakes, we’ve had floods, measles, diphtheria, dengue, Oropouche. Health systems are really buckling under the weight and our health workforce globally has really taken a beating. Many have left. Many are suffering from PTSD. Many died.”

What keeps her up at night, she says, is “complacency”, worrying that the response to a new threat will be hampered by “the notion that ‘it’ll just go away’, or ‘it’ll burn itself out’”.


Are we doing anything better?

The world has never been in a better position when it comes to the expertise, technology and data systems to rapidly detect a threat, Van Kerkhove says. The expansion of genomic sequencing abilities to most countries worldwide, and better access to medical oxygen and infection prevention and control, remain “really big gains” after the Covid-19 pandemic, she adds.

It means her answer to whether the world is ready for the next pandemic “is both yes and no”.

“On the other hand, I think the difficulties and the trauma that we’ve all gone through with Covid and with other outbreaks, in the context of war and climate change and economic crises and politics, we are absolutely not ready to handle another pandemic,” she says. “The world doesn’t want to hear me on television saying that the next crisis is upon us.”

The world of public health is “fighting for political attention, for fiscal space, for investment” – rather than nations working to stay in “a steady state of readiness”, she says.

The long-term solution, she says, is “about getting that level of investment right. It’s about getting that sense of urgency correct. It’s about making sure that the system isn’t fragile.”


Is money available for pandemic preparation?

Rwanda’s minister of health, Dr Sabin Nsanzimana, found himself dealing with two major disease outbreaks in 2024: Africa’s mpox public health emergency, and 66 cases of Marburg virus in his own country.

He also co-chairs the governing board of the Pandemic Fund, set up in November 2022 as a financing mechanism to help poorer countries prepare for emerging pandemic threats.

If the next pandemic arrives in 2025, he warns: “Sadly, no, the world is not ready. Since the Covid public health emergency ended last year, too many political leaders have turned their attention and resources toward other challenges. We are entering once again what we call the cycle of neglect. People are forgetting just how costly the pandemic was to human lives and to economies and are failing to heed its lessons.”

He says the Pandemic Fund “urgently needs more resources to fulfil its mission” – it has received requests from low- and middle-income countries totalling $7bn (£5.6bn) to fund pandemic preparation and response investments, against $850m available.


What has happened in international talks?

In 2022 the WHO began negotiations for a new pandemic accord that would provide a firm basis for future international cooperation. But talks failed to yield a result by an initial deadline of the annual World Health Assembly in May 2024. Negotiators are now aiming for a deadline of this year’s May meeting.

So far the talks have actually worsened trust levels between countries, says Dr Clare Wenham of the department of health policy at LSE.

There is no agreement on what Wenham calls “the big elephant in the room” of “pathogen access and benefit sharing” – essentially, what guarantees poorer countries are given that they will have access to treatments and vaccines against a future pandemic disease, in exchange for providing samples and data that allow those therapies to be created. Research suggests more equal vaccine access during the Covid-19 pandemic could have saved more than a million lives.

“[Governments] are just so far apart, and no one is really willing to budge,” says Wenham, with only 10 days of actual negotiating time scheduled before the World Health Assembly deadline. Practical questions remain about the feasibility of what is being proposed, she adds, “even if you get over the fundamentals of how unwilling governments are to compromise”.

Her assessment is blunt: “We’ve had the biggest pandemic of our lifetimes, and we’re worse prepared than we were when we went in.”

She is among commentators who fear that any accord pushed through in May will lack real teeth, agreeing only a top-level framework, with trickier detailed decisions delayed.

But those involved in the process have rebutted that idea. Anne-Claire Amprou, co-chair of the WHO’s Intergovernmental Negotiating Body, said as December talks drew to a close: “We need a pandemic agreement which is meaningful, and it will be.”

The Guardian

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